By De Gunst M., et al. (eds.)
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Extra resources for State of the art in probability and statistics. Festschrift for W.R. Van Zwet
The analyst thus faces a more restricted historical scale. With this in mind, the trajectory of all phenomena, which, through military history, can be called “military revolutions”, fall under a singularization which is specific to each of them, with the risk of seeing them disconnected or breaking the link between them. This is how total war, blitzkrieg, the appearance of the nuclear weapon and, we could add, the current RMA, were supposedly included in proper time patterns, each based on their own kinematic/dynamism, with multiple consequences.
On the contrary, professing a major change in the evolution of societies and in the evolution of their political conduct enables to justify changes in their practice of warfare. In this view, as the Tofflers themselves stress, RMA is the product of major evolutions in the scale of societies, or their modes of production and their comprehension of politics and economy, but also violence [TOF 94, ROB 67], which can be represented as follows: 10 This tendency towards the decrease of lethality has already inspired the evolution of American nuclear strategy when D.
If some views are ousted, the search continues and is favored by the political sphere17; – Nonetheless, several authors speak of “post-RMA”, defined as “AfterNext RMA”, which induces a “temporality of unlimited revolution”. Basing their statement on the fact that RMA would trigger doctrinal, organizational and technological consequences on the American forces, they gave rise to a questioning about its “after”: not only about its maturation, but also about its possible futures. They identify several technological groups they consider suitable to cause new RMAs once they mature.
State of the art in probability and statistics. Festschrift for W.R. Van Zwet by De Gunst M., et al. (eds.)