By George Soros
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Additional resources for Reflections on the Crash of 2008 and What it Means: An E-Book Update to the New Paradigm For Financial Markets
Mexico has a serious security problem because of drug trafﬁcking. As the economic situation deteriorates, the chances of civil unrest rise. The collapse of credit in the global ﬁnancial system is having an even more devastating effect on the countries at the periphery than those at the center. Credit lines have been withdrawn, maturing loans cannot be rolled over, and trade ﬁnance has dried up. Hopefully, the leaders of the developed world recognize that it is in their own enlightened self-interest to come to the rescue of the developing world.
Yet they cannot be defeated without the active support of the local population. That is the quandary that confronts the incoming administration. qxd 202 2/4/09 3:18 PM Page 202 The Crash of 2008 and What it Means of Pakistan, and the loss of legitimacy and popularity of the Hamid Karzai regime. The situation is not insoluble, but it will require extraordinary skill and perseverance to bring it under control. The Oil-Producing Countries The oil-producing countries have suffered a sudden reversal of fortune.
The Indian Subcontinent India is more self-contained than China, and it should have less difﬁculty in maintaining its upside momentum. The removal of inﬂationary pressures should go part of the way toward offsetting the decline in exports. The Indian stock market has been harder hit than that of most countries, but its ﬁnancial system, which is still largely under government inﬂuence, has been less affected. Remittances from the Gulf States will suffer, and its outsourcing business will languish, but hopefully infrastructure investments, of which India has a great backlog, will continue apace.
Reflections on the Crash of 2008 and What it Means: An E-Book Update to the New Paradigm For Financial Markets by George Soros