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We note that the participation level for some of these stocks have been climbing over the past year. 25) could gain from rising commodity prices. 50) are stocks on most of the foreign investors’ radar screen. Tabulated below are some of the counters with strong foreign following and their respective foreign shareholding levels. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. 6 Sources: Various, TA securities 2011 Market Outlook 33 TA Securities 2011 Annual Strategy A Member of the TA Group Commodity – Flavour of the Year Theme: ƒ RISE OF COMMODITY PLAYS Commodity Play to Extend Into 2011 Commodity is one of the top performing asset classes in 2010 amidst the lagging recovery in the real estates and the slow recovery in the developed nation’s economy in the general.

In the EU, sovereign debts crisis and government budget cuts would likely drive subpar economic growth in the years ahead. 2011 Market Outlook 35 TA Securities 2011 Annual Strategy A Member of the TA Group Figure 37: Benign US economic growth.....  The US authorities’ effort to push interest rates lower would widen the gap with other countries and therefore benefits currencies of the latter. There are also risks the USD carry trade would increase ahead as investors borrow in USD and invests the money in other higher yielding market/assets.

A weak US Dollar In early November, the US Federal Reserve announced a second round of asset purchases, dubbed ‘Quantitative Easing 2’ or QE2. The question remains as to the likely effects of QE2 on oil demand and prices.  Another outcome is that risk aversion persists or that investors focus on returns, in which case QE2 would then simply encourage capital flows into commodities.  There have been previous episodes of capital flowing into commodities – notably from the mid 2000s, culminating in oil prices surging to almost $150/bbl by mid 2008.

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